0.96 Åmedian backbone error
Prediction became accurate enough to trust as a judge
In the blind CASP14 assessment AlphaFold2 predicted backbones to roughly the width of a carbon atom, against 2.8 Å for the next best method. The public database now holds predictions for over 214 million sequences, against about 100,000 structures solved experimentally in the previous half century.
Jumper et al., Nature, 2021 ↗
<0.1% → 10-100%binder success rate
Designed binders stopped being a lottery
Running a structure predictor backwards as a design engine produced experimentally confirmed binders for twelve hard targets, including CRISPR-Cas9, with no high-throughput screening. The same paper puts the earlier physics-based baseline below one in a thousand.
Pacesa et al., Nature, 2025 ↗
19%designs that worked
A generative model raised hit rates about a hundredfold
Asked to invent proteins that grip five medically relevant targets, RFdiffusion succeeded with fewer than 100 designs per target where earlier campaigns tested thousands. One designed MDM2 binder reached 0.5 nM, about a thousand times tighter than the natural peptide it replaces.
Watson et al., Nature, 2023 ↗
58%identity to nearest known
A fluorescent protein far outside the natural family
A protein language model was asked for something that glows and produced a bright green fluorescent protein sharing 58 percent of its sequence with the closest known fluorescent protein and 36 percent with jellyfish GFP. The authors estimate the gap at more than 500 million years of natural evolution.
Hayes et al., Science, 2025 ↗
13.9 kDasmaller than any natural one
An enzyme with no counterpart in nature
A designed luciferase built inside an invented fold emits light, survives 95 °C, and matches natural enzymes on catalytic efficiency while being far more selective about its substrate.
Yeh et al., Nature, 2023 ↗